One direction

It’s the little details.

https://www.livemint.com/Money/gnJkCCxpdd8RozcK825gDI/Indian-pepper-futures-prices-drop-even-as-global-prices-ris.html
“The price of pepper in the futures market in India dropped by around Rs1,633 a quintal last week, from a high of Rs16,334, even as pepper prices rose sharply in global market”

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/organic-spice-market-worth-over-40-billion-by-2024-global-market-insights-inc-680652221.html
Demand.

https://www.investopedia.com/news/starbucks-hikes-prices-amid-pumpkin-spice-revival/
Demand.

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/global-spice-and-herbs-extracts-market-trends-analysis-and-forecast-to-2021-300357175.html
“However, inconsistencies in the prices of spices and herbs and high cost of production are primary challenges hampering the growth of this market over the forecast period. North America dominates the world spice and herbs extracts market in terms of dollar share, while Asia Pacific is the largest market in terms of volume.”

TLDR: Grow a herb garden.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/mar/31/madagascars-vanilla-wars-prized-spice-drives-death-and-deforestation
Destruction.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-20/surging-onion-egg-squid-costs-spice-up-asian-inflation-outlook
High prices in ‘good’ times.

https://www.financialexpress.com/market/commodities/chilli-prices-set-to-go-up-on-fall-in-stocks-low-production/171022/
Farming failing.

https://www.freshplaza.com/article/9090167/china-large-volume-of-chilli-peppers-about-to-enter-market/
China.
Why does China want Africa’s farms?

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-kenya-climatechange-chili-feature-idUSKCN1IO2YK

Are you watching closely?
I am.

Too chilly for Chiles? How cold temps could impact planting season

http://www.theproducenews.com/the-produce-news-today-s-headlines/26463-coachella-valley-expecting-excellent-year-because-of-superior-winter-weather

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/pune/estimates-show-likely-dip-in-fruit-veggie-production/articleshow/68638753.cms

https://www.hollandsentinel.com/news/20190425/peaches-lost-other-crops-thrive-as-farming-season-begins

If you watch enough agri news, one thing is clear.

Cool period.

Yet, MSM:
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/613330/the-american-midwest-will-feed-a-warming-world-but-for-how-long/
‘Warming’

Yeah, guess they’d better sell up to the Chinese their only supply of food, before -gasp- they lose money!

Meanwhile, recently:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6915113/Sydney-supermarket-experiences-MILK-shortage-farmers-warn-going-worse.html

https://www.ajc.com/news/local/you-want-tomato-with-that-cold-weather-creates-shortage/ZcO1aUJ0naKeMCh4FQ7jLJ/

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060175327 Don’t chop down the trees.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1114503/weather-forecast-long-range-nasa-noaa-news-solar-minimum-space-weather

http://www.commoditiescontrol.com/commodity-market/spices.html

It’s all pointing in one direction: too many people, wanting too much spicy junk, dying agriculture, old infrastructure failure.

If you wanted a black swan… what more could you wish for?

Nobody looks at cost of living anymore. But people will spend a lot of money to stay alive.

Last Little Ice Age, what was expensive?

1. Be civil. 2. Be logical or fair. 3. Do not bore me.

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